
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 5% on 23 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 23 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 5% on 23 Mar 2024 and the lowest 1.2% on 31 Mar 2024. $349.78K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 23 Mar 2024 – 1 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Mar 2024 | 5.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 11235813 | Yes | 7.17K |
| Subarist05 | Yes | 2.11K |
| newbie12345 | Yes | 1.85K |
| Chachol | Yes | 55.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-responsible-for-russia-attack
New to prediction markets?
| vf chcfgnmh | Yes | 12.5 |