Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 21 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 64% on 28 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 42% on 4 Mar 2024. $55.34K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 21 Feb 2024 – 1 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2024 | 45.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| M S S | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new bill containing at least $5 billion in aid to Ukraine is signed into law in the US between February 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Funding for replenishment of US stocks sent to Ukraine counts as Ukraine aid. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ukraine-aid-package-by-march-31
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