Analytics
Trading is closed with the Up side last at 50%; no result has been reported.
The high was 74.5% on 13 Apr 2026 and the low 22% on 13 May 2026. A week ago the Up side was at 65.5%; a month ago, 50%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 66.5% on 14 May 2026.
$262.56 has traded since listing.
The largest Up position is Conventional-Adverb with 2 shares; the largest Down position is rocketcrypto with 3.
Polymarket record as of May 30, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB · 51 points · 2 Apr 2026 – 30 May 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 39.0% |
| 30 May 2026 | 49.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocketcrypto | Down | 3.03 |
| Conventional-Adverb | Up | 2.02 |
| Coarse-Appetizer | Down | 1.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who approve of the UK Government’s record was 16% as of March 30, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "approve of the Government’s record to date" is higher than 16%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 16%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 16%, or if no new data point is published by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth day after the date on which the latest data point has been published. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s record to date?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/government-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-government-approval-up-or-down-this-week
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