Analytics
Resolved Ryan Gandra on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ryan Gandra at 55.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 38.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 39.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $265.7K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 9:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| texaskid | Zachary Reese | 158.71K |
| hi774c | Zachary Reese | 25.66K |
| Wobbly-Decisionmaking | Zachary Reese | 6.3K |
| 0x0A77exmm | Zachary Reese | 2.18K |
| dex57 | Zachary Reese | 1.16K |
| Cool-Balcony | Zachary Reese | 1.14K |
| Tylerli01 | Zachary Reese | 1K |
| JohnnyWins | Zachary Reese | 986.1 |
| Tenzweiner | Zachary Reese | 470 |
| borism8 | Zachary Reese | 450 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Zachary Reese" if Zachary Reese is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Gandra at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Ryan Gandra" if Ryan Gandra is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-zac5-rya18-2026-07-11
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
