Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 76% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 31% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 35.5% on 6 May 2026. $2.33K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 1:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| the-generate | No | 40 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour1 | No | 24.5 |
| ijoker | No | 8.57 |
| mirabu | No | 2.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Yaroslav Amosov and Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-yar-joe-2026-05-09
| Rocks3 | No | 0.5 |
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