Analytics
Resolved Yaroslav Amosov on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yaroslav Amosov at 36.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 19 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 82.5% on 26 Apr 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 82.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $448.31K traded over the market's life.
294 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 19 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sunflowaa | Joel ÁLvarez | 67.8K |
| 6yuyurrg | Joel ÁLvarez | 12.41K |
| Momentumtrades | Joel ÁLvarez | 10.03K |
| Fearless-Spectacles | Joel ÁLvarez | 9.65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-yar-joe-2026-05-09
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| prl3082 | Joel ÁLvarez | 4.23K |
| Damp-Tooth | Joel ÁLvarez | 4.05K |
| 0xsondre | Joel ÁLvarez | 3.5K |
| ididntmeanit | Yaroslav Amosov | 3.05K |
| DEGENKAT | Joel ÁLvarez | 3.01K |
| Dim-Attribute | Joel ÁLvarez | 2.69K |
