Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 82% on 20 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 11 Jul 2026 and the low 73% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 73% on 31 May 2026. $33.74K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 6:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 54 points · 20 May 2026 – 12 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 82.0% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Conor McGregor officially participates in a UFC fight by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements of a fight or participation in exhibitions of any kind will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. Only instances where Conor McGregor officially participates in an official UFC-sanctioned fight will count toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-will-conor-mcgregor-fight-in-2026
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