Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 8 Feb 2026 and the low 22.5% on 23 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22.5% on 23 Feb 2026. $244.16 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 8 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mdgc | Yes | 100 |
| 2026richlv | Yes | 50 |
| Perfumed-Embarrassment | Yes | 8.33 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wes5-dam11-2026-02-28
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