Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 30% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 30.5% on 28 Apr 2026. $53.49 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 9:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dependent-Dough | Yes | 2.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Wes Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ben Johnston at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Ben Johnston" if Ben Johnston is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wes5-bjohns-2026-05-02
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