Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the low 17% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 26.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $14.07 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 10:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 28 Jun 2026 – 11 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gaditima | Yes | 3.19 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tracy Cortez at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Tracy Cortez" if Tracy Cortez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wan2-tra-2026-07-11
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