Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 65% on 8 Jul 2026 and the low 49% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 57.5% on 7 Jul 2026. $5.9K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 11:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 11 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 64.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpecStavok | No | 57 |
| revela39 | No | 14.99 |
| miloshbtw | No | 10 |
| Cosmic Falcon 3C36 | No | 8.47 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tracy Cortez at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Tracy Cortez" if Tracy Cortez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wan2-tra-2026-07-11
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