Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 11 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26% on 9 Jul 2026. $406.05 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 12, 11:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 11 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thin-Sermon | Yes | 95.24 |
| Smoa | Yes | 26.32 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Luxurious-Investment | Yes | 5.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Wang Cong" if Wang Cong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tracy Cortez at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Tracy Cortez" if Tracy Cortez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-wan2-tra-2026-07-11
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 1.12 |
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