Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 62.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 0.5% on 15 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 0.5% on 15 Mar 2026.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 15, 11:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 6 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 14.99 |
| Keen Harbor 9FD0 | Yes | 10 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 6.69 |
| Oakledger | Yes | 5 |
| ZSM4736326 | Yes | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | Yes | 5 |
| Meta0x77 | Yes | 5 |
| M81Lx | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Vitor Petrino and Steven Asplund at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-vit3-ste36-2026-03-14
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