Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 90% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 64 points up, to 90% on 15 Mar 2026.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 1:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 90.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| illraise7 | No | 315 |
| Utter-Downgrade | No | 15 |
| jjzzh | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Vitor Petrino and Steven Asplund at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-vit3-ste36-2026-03-14
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