Analytics
Resolved Ivan Erslan on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Ivan Erslan at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 26 Apr 2026 and the low 0.1% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 0.1% on 17 May 2026. $490.86K traded over the market's life.
161 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 3:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 26 Apr 2026 – 17 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| benwyatt | Tuco Tokkos | 100K |
| Threadbare-Thought | Tuco Tokkos | 10K |
| West1717 | Tuco Tokkos | 2.69K |
| Violet Maven 3DA3 | Tuco Tokkos | 2.48K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tuc1-iva6-2026-05-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| bzzz | Tuco Tokkos | 2.44K |
| NewTeamSosed5 | Tuco Tokkos | 2K |
| PetitCrayon0 | Tuco Tokkos | 1.54K |
| DEGENKAT | Tuco Tokkos | 1.22K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Tuco Tokkos | 1.14K |
| DONKEYFISHBET | Tuco Tokkos | 1K |