Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 19 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2026 to 14 May 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 35% on 9 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 9 May 2026.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 6:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 14 May 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 May 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Trey Ogden" if Trey Ogden is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy Gantt at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Tommy Gantt" if Tommy Gantt is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tre4-tom17-2026-05-16
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