Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 23.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 52% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 22% on 14 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 22% on 14 Nov 2025. $556.57 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| assertequal | No | 33 |
| Sanfrew | No | 20 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight between Tracy Cortez and Erin Blanchfield at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve “No.” If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tra-eri3-2025-11-15
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