Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 23.5%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 76.5% on 16 Nov 2025 and the lowest 40.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 57% on 12 Nov 2025. $3.97K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 40.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.23K |
| kantona | Yes | 52.63 |
| Sanfrew | Yes | 20 |
| pogu | Yes | 1.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the fight between Tracy Cortez and Erin Blanchfield at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges’ scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Draws decided by the judges’ scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve “Yes.” Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve “No.” If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tra-eri3-2025-11-15
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