Analytics
Resolved Tommy McMillen on 12 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Tommy McMillen at 59.5%. The Tommy McMillen side opened at 70% on 30 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 70% on 30 Aug 2026 and the low 57.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 61% on 31 Aug 2026. $417.48K traded over the market's life.
189 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 11:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tommy McMillen price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 30 Aug 2026 – 12 Sep 2026, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Tommy McMillen price |
|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | 70.0% |
| 12 Sep 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wordy-Littleneck | Marwan Rahiki | 33.52K |
| GEAEW | Marwan Rahiki | 16.52K |
| WYNNERBACC | Marwan Rahiki | 8.78K |
| omnibus-076daa | Marwan Rahiki | 7.56K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marwan Rahiki at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Marwan Rahiki" if Marwan Rahiki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tom15-mar93-2026-09-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| WhiteMonster7 | Marwan Rahiki | 6.52K |
| DEGENKAT | Marwan Rahiki | 4.77K |
| randypunt | Marwan Rahiki | 3.5K |
| prtchmma | Marwan Rahiki | 2.71K |
| GeepaP | Marwan Rahiki | 2K |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Marwan Rahiki | 1.83K |
