Analytics
Resolved Steve Erceg on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Steve Erceg at 61.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 31.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $468.43K traded over the market's life.
196 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maxgreen | Tim Elliott | 17.65K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Tim Elliott | 17.52K |
| exploitmaxxer | Tim Elliott | 7.75K |
| lonelyMan91 | Tim Elliott | 4.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Steve Erceg at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Steve Erceg" if Steve Erceg is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tim2-ste14-2026-05-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| askilika | Tim Elliott | 2.63K |
| Tann | Tim Elliott | 2.34K |
| MrGuessWho | Tim Elliott | 1.1K |
| Barikada | Tim Elliott | 1.06K |
| slimjoe | Tim Elliott | 971.99 |
| GooberThaGooner | Tim Elliott | 581.93 |
