Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54.5% on 18 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49% on 5 Apr 2026. $1.54K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 20, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| emmyxpress | No | 170 |
| mdgc | No | 120 |
| Lavincey | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Thiago Moises and Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-thi2-gau-2026-04-18
| Gagalabu2 | No | 30 |
| Chriszion | No | 16.74 |
| Rocks3 | No | 14.99 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 10.37 |
| yojo1 | No | 10.33 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 5.58 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
