Analytics
Resolved Gauge Young on 19 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Gauge Young at 58.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Apr 2026 to 18 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 18 Apr 2026. $946.98K traded over the market's life.
116 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 20, 3:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Apr 2026 – 18 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 49.5% |
| 18 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Prince786 | Thiago Moises | 32.63K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Thiago Moises | 14.14K |
| 05143 | Thiago Moises | 4.61K |
| DEGENKAT | Thiago Moises | 3.34K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Thiago Moises" if Thiago Moises is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gauge Young at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Gauge Young" if Gauge Young is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-thi2-gau-2026-04-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| erokha | Thiago Moises | 2.44K |
| mudman88 | Thiago Moises | 2.22K |
| ve3693 | Thiago Moises | 2.14K |
| hi774c | Thiago Moises | 2.12K |
| Gorgeous-Witch | Thiago Moises | 1.18K |
| GambleFroth | Thiago Moises | 920.63 |
