Analytics
Resolved Joshua Van on 10 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Joshua Van at 39.5%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 10 May 2026, the highest close was 63.5% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 56.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $2.28M traded over the market's life.
503 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 11, 6:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 10 May 2026, chart shows 50%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 63.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | 60.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LudoPriclychenie | Tatsuro Taira | 122.27K |
| PalestineChicken | Tatsuro Taira | 92.58K |
| maxgreen | Tatsuro Taira | 23.29K |
| sunflowaa | Tatsuro Taira |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Tatsuro Taira" if Tatsuro Taira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joshua Van" if Joshua Van is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tat1-jos49-2026-05-09
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| 17.01K |
| Massimo24 | Tatsuro Taira | 16.39K |
| Annon12 | Tatsuro Taira | 12.78K |
| madkkee | Tatsuro Taira | 11.94K |
| Barreled4Eva | Tatsuro Taira | 8.33K |
| abouttojump | Tatsuro Taira | 8K |
| TrentaColdBrew | Tatsuro Taira | 7K |
