Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 28%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 80.5% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 11 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 66% on 26 Jan 2026. $4.09K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 72.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 787 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 518 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 513 |
| kggfabius | Yes | 233.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tai Tuivasa and Tallison Teixeira at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai1-tal2-2026-01-31
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 221 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 203 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 200 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
| Keen Kestrel 953D | Yes | 24.69 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 20 |
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