Analytics
Resolved Louie Sutherland on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Louie Sutherland at 33.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 66.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 57.5% on 27 Apr 2026. $186.74K traded over the market's life.
136 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 2:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026, chart shows 45%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | 51.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wrathful-Stealth-Queen | Tai Tuivasa | 12.9K |
| NAZABIGGS | Tai Tuivasa | 5K |
| Massimo24 | Tai Tuivasa | 4.1K |
| Roulette1 | Tai Tuivasa | 3.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Tai Tuivasa" if Tai Tuivasa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Louie Sutherland at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Louie Sutherland" if Louie Sutherland is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai1-lou2-2026-05-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| leo0770 | Tai Tuivasa | 3.01K |
| lavarball | Tai Tuivasa | 2.51K |
| Moondogg44 | Tai Tuivasa | 1.22K |
| TheRealBolBol | Tai Tuivasa | 1.06K |
| Jobiak | Tai Tuivasa | 1K |
| aljo1996 | Tai Tuivasa | 895.52 |
