Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 5 Jul 2026 to 19 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 18 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 18% on 16 Jul 2026. $1.5K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 1:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 5 Jul 2026 – 19 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Juontaja | Yes | 402.32 |
| melttex | Yes | 297.06 |
| ahahahah | Yes | 254.86 |
| Overjoyed-Aid-Conception | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tabatha Ricci and Fatima Kline at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, scheduled for July 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tab-fat-2026-07-18
New to prediction markets?
| bets69 | Yes | 22.79 |
| Bright Pioneer 7D7A | Yes | 11.76 |
| Elementary-Concentrate | Yes | 7.74 |
| Rocks3 | No | 0.46 |
| iamgleb | No | 0.01 |
