Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 8 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 34% on 5 Jun 2026. $13.4K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 1:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 26 May 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Yes | 1.3K |
| MB4 | Yes | 300 |
| dddtrips | Yes | 119.49 |
| killaJP | Yes | 81.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Steve Garcia and Diego Lopes at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste6-die4-2026-06-14
| Brief-Middle | Yes | 66.67 |
| JBJB7 | Yes | 55.56 |
| automatedAItradingbot | Yes | 50 |
| Metallic-Substitution | Yes | 39.86 |
| OutterSpaceBro | Yes | 36.11 |
| WeWuzKangz | Yes | 29.99 |
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