Analytics
Resolved Steven Asplund on 9 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Steven Asplund at 0%. The Guilherme Pat side opened at 50% on 27 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2026 to 9 Aug 2026, the highest close was 100% on 9 Aug 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 100% on 9 Aug 2026. $705.47K traded over the market's life.
135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 12:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Guilherme Pat price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 27 Jul 2026 – 9 Aug 2026
| Observed | Guilherme Pat price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeymashingkeyboard | Guilherme Pat | 9.45K |
| gaclfz | Guilherme Pat | 6.34K |
| djtj67 | Guilherme Pat | 5.5K |
| Striped-Refuse | Guilherme Pat | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ste36-gui2-2026-08-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Solar Ledger A27A | Guilherme Pat | 3.72K |
| DLplmk | Guilherme Pat | 3.05K |
| randypunt | Guilherme Pat | 3K |
| neagara | Guilherme Pat | 2.63K |
| jole24 | Guilherme Pat | 1.5K |
| ballinco | Guilherme Pat | 1.47K |
