Analytics
Resolved Vitor Petrino on 23 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Vitor Petrino at 58.5%. The Serghei Spivac side opened at 50% on 9 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2026 to 23 Aug 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 18 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 42.5% on 12 Aug 2026. $570.32K traded over the market's life.
156 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 2:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Serghei Spivac price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 9 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Serghei Spivac price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rabbitfoot1 | Serghei Spivac | 215.32K |
| berbisminsk | Serghei Spivac | 6.06K |
| Obilic | Serghei Spivac | 5K |
| errormargin3 | Serghei Spivac | 4.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Serghei Spivac" if Serghei Spivac is officially declared the winner of the fight against Vitor Petrino at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Vitor Petrino" if Vitor Petrino is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ser2-vit3-2026-08-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| berboche | Serghei Spivac | 3.66K |
| 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Serghei Spivac | 3.41K |
| fishingforprofits | Serghei Spivac | 3K |
| zalata | Serghei Spivac | 2.07K |
| the.Hound | Serghei Spivac | 1.82K |
| tennischamp | Serghei Spivac | 1.67K |
