Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 23 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 16% on 2 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44.5%. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 16% on 2 Feb 2026.
$190.52 has traded since listing.
The largest position is 15rob with 0 No shares.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 23 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 15rob | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seokhyeon Ko defeats Jacobe Smith at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-seo1-jac21-2026-02-21
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