Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 99.8% on 1 Feb 2026. $3.29K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 1.13K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 868 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 507 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 322 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sebastian Szalay and Keiichiro Nakamura at UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2, scheduled for January 31, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-seb1-kei10-2026-01-31
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 244 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 25 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 23 |
| Scratchy-Whey | No | 20 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 11.26 |
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
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