Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 27.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 11.5% on 13 Nov 2025. $4.02K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2025 | 25.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 905 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 669 |
| Der117 | Yes | 340 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 309.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Brady" if Sean Brady is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michael Morales at UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev, scheduled for November 15, 2025. It will resolve to "Morales" if Michael Morales is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 29, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-sea4-mic14-2025-11-15
| Nikita6x | Yes | 200 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 130.97 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 128.9 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 123 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 111 |
| Tepid-Law | Yes | 100 |
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