Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 19%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50.5% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 17.5% on 21 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 2 Feb 2026. $5.21K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 23, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 22 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Walkpau | Yes | 200 |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | No | 187.41 |
| paas2 | No | 30.01 |
| Imaginary-Array | No | 30 |
| Misty Horizon F967 | No | 15 |
| Powerful-Space | No | 10.75 |
| Cobalt Scout A2CB | No | 5.63 |
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | No | 5 |
| wdsad1 | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Sean Strickland and Anthony Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez, scheduled for February 21, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-sea2-ant-2026-02-21
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