Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 16 Jul 2026. $925.7 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 6:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TanksOMW | No | 50 |
| custalt | No | 5 |
| Coral Voyager D8CE | No | 4.74 |
| BOOKMAKER67 | No | 3.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Santiago Ponzinibbio and Sam Patterson at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-san1-sam2-2026-07-25
New to prediction markets?
| Gaditima | No | 1.54 |
| Rocks3 | No | 0.5 |
