Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 40.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59.5% on 26 Apr 2026 and the lowest 43% on 25 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 59.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $176.82 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | 50.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcus Buchecha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcus Buchecha" if Marcus Buchecha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rya1-mar90-2026-04-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
