Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 35.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 44% on 25 Apr 2026. $282.66 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 35.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcus Buchecha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcus Buchecha" if Marcus Buchecha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rya1-mar90-2026-04-25
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