Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 13% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 13% on 26 Apr 2026. $308.49 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 2:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| sab0tage | Yes | 10.64 |
| Ill-Informed-Situation | Yes | 2.97 |
| Mogi12 | Yes | 2.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcus Buchecha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcus Buchecha" if Marcus Buchecha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rya1-mar90-2026-04-25
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