Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 21% on 5 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 32% on 2 Sep 2026. $68.76 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 6:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ryan Spann and Mario Pinto at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rya1-mar86-2026-09-05
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