Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 59%. Yes opened at 49% on 23 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2026 to 5 Sep 2026, the highest close was 61% on 4 Sep 2026 and the lowest 48.5% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 59.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $3.82K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 7:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 23 Aug 2026 – 5 Sep 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| no1dodgersfan | No | 508.34 |
| don-juan-matus- | No | 78.31 |
| RadioFreeZerg | No | 34.8 |
| Rocks3 | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ryan Spann and Mario Pinto at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rya1-mar86-2026-09-05
New to prediction markets?
| custalt | No | 10 |
| AntiVaxxer | No | 5 |
