Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 22% on 17 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 9:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 15.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lazerpeenus | Yes | 40 |
| DNDRLT21 | Yes | 20 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Roman Dolidze and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rom2-chr20-2026-03-21
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
