Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57%. Yes opened at 48% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 14 Mar 2026 and the low 43% on 21 Mar 2026. $244.63 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 10:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 48.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 43.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hairy-Warming | Yes | 127.39 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 10.07 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
| Green-Track | Yes | 3.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Roman Dolidze and Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rom2-chr20-2026-03-21
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