Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 25 Feb 2026 and the lowest 13% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 26 Feb 2026.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 4:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TBEAR7 | Yes | 83.33 |
| Clever-Footage | Yes | 75.36 |
| Relieved-Gosling | Yes | 52.97 |
| Exciting-Nutrient | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Rob Font" if Rob Font is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Raul Rosas Jr." if Raul Rosas Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rob2-rau2-2026-03-07
| zbott2005 | Yes | 41.67 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 34.03 |
| Helpless-Brilliant | Yes | 25 |
| Safe-Waterskiing | Yes | 17.22 |
| Jpmp | Yes | 16.67 |
| Quiet-Validity | Yes | 10.53 |
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