Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 31% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 6 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 12:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oakledger | No | 5 |
| ZSM4736326 | No | 5 |
| Veltrona453 | No | 5 |
| M81Lx | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ricky Turcios and Alberto Montes at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ric12-alb10-2026-03-07
| shahsports | No | 5 |
| Vague-Parade | No | 5 |
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