Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2026 to 29 Mar 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 25 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.1% on 29 Mar 2026. $157.39 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 10:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 25 Mar 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 47.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.07 |
| ShahRiazKhan | Yes | 5 |
| 0xMIX | Yes | 5 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ricky Simon defeats Adrian Yanez at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ric1-adr-2026-03-28
| shahsports | Yes | 5 |
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