Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 1 Apr 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 53.5% on 1 Apr 2026. $2.36K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 3:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thegouvernment | Yes | 135.69 |
| GooberThaGooner | Yes | 115.06 |
| saithama | Yes | 88.48 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 26.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Duncan defeats Renato Moicano at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-chr13-2026-04-04
| drakoo | Yes | 25.59 |
| Troubled-Tackle | Yes | 23.4 |
| Amber Quasar 5ADF | Yes | 18.04 |
| Striped-Document | Yes | 7.02 |
| Silent-Stench | Yes | 6 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5.75 |
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