Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 16 Mar 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 47% on 9 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 49.5% on 24 Feb 2026.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 10:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 16 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 51.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Ortega defeats Renato Moicano at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-bri3-2026-03-07
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