Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 50%; no result has been reported.
Across the 29 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 66% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 44% on 1 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 44% on 1 Mar 2026.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 10:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 30%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Renato Moicano defeats Brian Ortega at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-ren-bri3-2026-03-07
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