Analytics
Resolved Caio Borralho on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Caio Borralho at 67.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 15 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 15 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 51% on 15 Feb 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 34% on 16 Feb 2026.
325 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 6:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 15 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 32.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| themmaguru | Reinier De Ridder | 6.03K |
| Playful-Championship | Reinier De Ridder | 5.13K |
| Saivestor | Reinier De Ridder | 5K |
| PMHedgeFund | Reinier De Ridder |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Reinier de Ridder" if Reinier de Ridder is officially declared the winner of the fight against Caio Borralho at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Caio Borralho" if Caio Borralho is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-rei1-cai2-2026-03-07
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 3.35K |
| MEV-PM | Reinier De Ridder | 3.34K |
| fwed33 | Reinier De Ridder | 3.21K |
| Nicocorico | Reinier De Ridder | 3.01K |
| Tbonepro | Reinier De Ridder | 3K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Reinier De Ridder | 3K |
| Avarice31 | Reinier De Ridder | 2.76K |
