Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21%. Yes opened at 45% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 45% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 15% on 21 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 15.5% on 20 Nov 2025. $2.1K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 747 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 261 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 246 |
| assertequal | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Rafael Cerqueira and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf9-abd8-2025-11-22
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 115 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 113 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 74 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 59 |
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