Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 29% on 19 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2025 to 22 Nov 2025, the highest close was 29% on 19 Nov 2025 and the lowest 18% on 22 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 21% on 20 Nov 2025. $3.26K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Nov 2025 – 22 Nov 2025, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2025 | 29.0% |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 747 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 264 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 248 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 116 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Rafael Cerqueira and Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-raf9-abd8-2025-11-22
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 115 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 75 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 60 |
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